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2024-12-13 04:45:40

The interest rates of 10-year treasury bonds and CDB active bonds all went down by about 5bp, while those of 24 interest-bearing treasury bonds went down by 4.9bp to 1.856%, and those of 24 CDB dropped by 5.25bp to 1.9175%.Huang Wentao of China CITIC Construction Investment Co., Ltd. and others: It is estimated that deficit ratio will rise to over 4% in 2025, and it is expected that the stock and debt will continue. On December 9th, the Political Bureau of the Central Committee held a meeting to analyze and study the economic work in 2025. Huang Wentao, chief economist of CITIC Jiantou, and Liu Tianyu, macro analyst of CITIC Jiantou, believe that the policy tone of this Politburo meeting is quite proactive, which shows that the central government has made a full assessment and policy reserve for the pressures and risks that may be encountered in economic development next year, which has strongly echoed the expectations of economic entities. Huang Wentao and Liu Tianyu pointed out that GDP growth in the fourth quarter is expected to reach more than 5.2%, achieving the expected goal of annual economic growth of around 5%. On this basis, the annual growth target of about 5% will also be the basic premise of policy discussion in the next few years. Since the fourth quarter of this year, the fiscal policy has been continuously overweight. This time, the fiscal policy is set to be "more active", which indicates that the fiscal policy will expand again. It is estimated that deficit ratio will increase to over 4% in 2025. Both stocks and debts are expected to continue. Unconventional countercyclical adjustment policies not only provide sufficient impetus for the recovery of economic vitality, but also provide strong support for improving expectations and reviving confidence, and provide sufficient source of living water for the capital market. The stock market is expected to continue to strengthen and the risk-free rate of return is expected to continue to decline.At least 184 people were killed in an attack on a community in Port-au-Prince, Haiti. On December 9, the United Nations High Commissioner for Human Rights, Volcker Turk, said that Haitian gang armed forces attacked a community on the outskirts of Port-au-Prince last weekend, killing at least 184 people. Since the beginning of this year, the number of people killed in gang attacks in Port-au-Prince has reached 5,000. At present, Haitian gangs control 80% of Port-au-Prince, and violent incidents occur frequently.


Zhejiang took the lead in exploring the EOD model system. Recently, the Provincial Department of Ecology and Environment, the Provincial Development and Reform Commission, the Zhejiang Branch of CDB and the Zhejiang Branch of Agricultural Development Bank jointly issued the Guidelines for the Storage of Zhejiang Eco-environment-oriented Development (EOD) Projects (Trial), the Management Regulations of Zhejiang Eco-environment-oriented Development (EOD) Projects (Trial), and the Implementation Evaluation Rules of Zhejiang Eco-environment-oriented Development (EOD) Projects (Trial) EOD model is an innovation of market-oriented eco-environmental governance model, which aims to promote the effective integration, value-added feedback and overall promotion of eco-environmental governance with strong public welfare and related industries with good returns, and realize the integrated development of regional eco-environmental governance and industries. At present, 18 EOD projects in the province have been included in the financial support project library of the Ministry of Ecology and Environment, and two batches of 18 provincial pilot EOD projects have been announced. (released by Zhejiang)The new work of the famous horror film series Death Comes 6 is scheduled in North America. On May 16th next year, the new work of the famous horror film series Death Comes 6 is scheduled. The film will be released in North America on May 16th next year to commemorate the 25th anniversary of the series.At the close of early trading, the main contracts of domestic futures rose more and fell less. Coke and BR rubber rose by more than 3%, while rebar, glass, hot coil, iron ore and Shanghai Bank rose by more than 2%. In terms of decline, the European line of container transportation fell by nearly 3%, while asphalt, alumina and No.20 glue fell by more than 1%.


Saudi Arabia claims that Israel's actions in Syria have destroyed the opportunity to restore security.Dotinolole, a new drug used by Weicai to treat gout, was approved for marketing in China. On December 10th, Weicai China announced that its new urate reuptake inhibitor Dotinolole tablets (trade name: Youlesi) had been approved by National Medical Products Administration (NMPA) in China, and its indication was gout with hyperuricemia.The scientific and technological innovation sector is ready to go! Kechuang 100TF (588190) rose by 2.99% at midday, and Stevie rose by 6.20%. By midday on December 10th, Kechuang 100TF (588190) rose by 2.99%, with a turnover of 457 million yuan. Component stocks rose strongly, with Sitway rising by 6.20%, Guo Dun Quantum, Hengxuan Technology, Ruichuang Micro-Nano and Alice rising by over 3%, and Xinyuanwei and Anji Technology rising by over 2%. Guotai Junan said that the policy is set to be unconventional, the New Year's market is expected to continue, and the China stock market's transformation bull is taking shape, and its style and industry configuration are welcoming the "transformation bull" and its chess eyes are growing. Zhongtai Securities said that the meeting pointed out that "a more active fiscal policy and a moderately loose monetary policy should be implemented". The statement that monetary policy is "moderately loose" is the first time in many years, which indicates that a more powerful monetary policy tool will be used next year, but it does not mean relaxing the goal of stabilizing exchange rate and currency value. The easing of monetary policy throughout the year is still closely related to Trump's tax cuts, inflation and debt. Next year is the closing year of the "14th Five-Year Plan", which is the real main line of the technology and direction related to industrial policy or the "year-end and early year" market.

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